Traders use Polymarket to predict outcomes, but the platform itself doesn't predict future events. It measures how the crowd currently estimates probability based on available information, similar to ...

Women who are diagnosed with breast cancer are more likely to die from that cancer than from all other causes of death combined if they are diagnosed with advanced stages of disease at any age or with ...

Interest Rate Probability Distributions Implied by Derivatives Prices is a daily measure of the distribution of future short-term interest rates, calculated from prices of fixed-income derivatives ...